by Phil White - March 10th, 2025
We’ve got an exciting NBA slate lined up, and after digging into the matchups, I’ve identified two player props that present great value. Let’s break them down.
📌 Josh Hart More Than 24.5 Points + Rebounds
The Knicks are severely shorthanded, and Josh Hart has stepped up in a major way to fill the gap. He’s coming off an incredible performance where he pulled down 20 rebounds in 42 minutes against one of the best rebounding teams in the league. The increased minutes and usage make this line too low. Hart will need to stay aggressive on the glass and provide consistent scoring if the Knicks want to avoid another loss. With the minutes and opportunity he’s getting, expect Hart to sail over this number.
📌 Josh Giddey More Than 34.5 PRA
Josh Giddey has been on fire since the start of the new year. Over his last 10 games, he’s averaging 21 points, 10 rebounds, and 8 assists — an elite stat line that makes this number feel too low. What’s even more encouraging is tonight’s matchup — two top-10 paced teams going head-to-head, which means there should be plenty of possessions and scoring opportunities. Giddey has been stuffing the stat sheet consistently, and in a fast-paced matchup, this line feels like a gift.
📌 Tyrese Maxey Less Than 2.5 Three-Pointers Made
Maxey is expected to return tonight after missing the last three games with a back injury, but he’s still battling a hand injury that has clearly affected his shot. Over his last five games, Maxey has shot an abysmal 21% from three — a far cry from his usual efficiency. Even if he’s back in the lineup, his shooting form is compromised, and in a game where he may need to work himself back into rhythm, expecting him to hit three or more threes seems unlikely. This under is a strong play.
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