by Phil White - March 12th, 2025
We’ve got an exciting matchup tonight between the Thunder and Celtics lined up, and after digging in, I’ve identified three player props that present great value. Let’s break them down.
📌 Jaylen Brown Over 23.5 Points
Jaylen Brown tends to rise to the occasion in marquee matchups — and tonight should be no different. Dating back to Boston's Finals run, Brown has consistently stepped up in big spots, averaging 27 points over his last five games. That stretch includes standout performances against top-tier opponents like the Lakers, Nuggets, and Cavaliers. Tonight, Brown also stands to benefit from a potential bump in usage with Jayson Tatum listed as questionable. If Tatum sits or even plays limited minutes, Brown will have the green light to be even more aggressive on offense — making this a prime spot to back him.
📌 Jrue Holiday Over 3.5 Rebounds
Jrue Holiday is a career 5 RPG guy who thrives in physical matchups — and tonight’s game against Oklahoma City presents a perfect opportunity for him to grab some boards. Holiday is expected to spend a lot of time guarding Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who lives in the paint and generates plenty of contested shot opportunities. That positioning should put Holiday in prime rebounding position on both ends of the floor. On top of that, the Celtics could be without key pieces tonight with multiple players carrying questionable tags — which should lead to increased minutes for Holiday. Expect him to get to four
boards comfortably.
📌 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 6.5 Assists
SGA has been making a strong push for MVP over the last month, averaging 32 points per game in February. But what’s gone under the radar is his playmaking ability — he's averaged 7 assists per game during that same stretch. The Thunder are also one of the most efficient catch-and-shoot teams in the league, ranking third in made catch-and-shoot field goals this season. That gives SGA plenty of upside to rack up assists, especially if the Celtics key in on him defensively and force him to create opportunities for his
teammates. Back him to keep the offense flowing.
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