LOCK & CASHVerified · updated live
+3.0%
Average closing line value
The single hardest number to fake — and the clearest proof of a real edge.
61.4%Beat the close
839Graded picks
+2%Books limit past
What is CLV?
A better price than the market’s closing line.
Beat it over thousands of picks and you’ve proven a real edge, win or lose. It’s just math.
How sharp is that
We’re in the zone books shut down.
Pros live at +2% to +4% CLV. Sportsbooks start limiting bettors right around +2%. Here’s where we land.
Our picks+3.0%
0%
Break-even
+2%
Books limit
Recreational
Negative CLV. Beats the close under half the time.
Break-even
~0%. Exactly in line with the market.
Sharp / pro
+2% to +5%. Where books start restricting you.
CLV over time
Above the line, week after week.
Weekly avg CLVBreak-even
Where the edge is sharpest
Average CLV by market.
Player PropsSharpest
+4.2%240 picks
Total
+3.9%70 picks
Spread
+3.2%252 picks
Moneyline
+1.4%277 picks
By sport
Beat the close, everywhere.
MLB
60%
314 graded picks
NBA
62%
209 graded picks
NCAAB
59%
184 graded picks
NCAAF
62%
60 graded picks
NFL
76%
41 graded picks
WNBA
62%
26 graded picks
NHL
80%
5 graded picks