LOCK & CASHVerified · updated live
+3.0%
Average closing line value
The single hardest number to fake — and the clearest proof of a real edge.
64.3%Beat the close
1,026Graded picks
+2%Books limit past
What is CLV?
A better price than the market’s closing line.
Beat it over thousands of picks and you’ve proven a real edge, win or lose. It’s just math.
How sharp is that
We’re in the zone books shut down.
Pros live at +2% to +4% CLV. Sportsbooks start limiting sharp accounts right around +2%. Here’s where we land.
Our picks+3.0%
0%
Break-even
+2%
Books limit
Recreational
Negative CLV. Beats the close under half the time.
Break-even
~0%. Exactly in line with the market.
Sharp / pro
+2% to +5%. Where books start restricting you.
Beat the close
Our last 10 picks, by CLV.
Lynx @ ValkyriesAug 19
0.0%Marlins @ PhilliesAug 19
-6.1%Diamondbacks @ Red SoxAug 19
-5.3%White Sox @ CubsAug 19
-1.3%Braves @ TwinsAug 19
+1.4%Tigers @ PiratesAug 19
+2.1%Braves @ TwinsAug 18
+8.4%Marlins @ PhilliesAug 18
+6.1%Blue Jays @ RaysAug 18
+3.2%Tigers @ PiratesAug 18
-5.0%Closing-line value on our last 10 graded picks.
CLV over time
Above the line, week after week.
Weekly avg CLVBreak-even
Where the edge is sharpest
Average CLV by market.
Player PropsSharpest
+4.4%264 picks
Total
+3.9%71 picks
Spread
+3.2%255 picks
Moneyline
+2.0%436 picks
By sport
Beat the close, everywhere.
MLB
67%
497 graded picks
NBA
62%
209 graded picks
NCAAB
59%
184 graded picks
NCAAF
62%
60 graded picks
NFL
76%
42 graded picks
WNBA
62%
29 graded picks
NHL
80%
5 graded picks