3 Picks for Mavs vs Kings Play-In Game

by Phil White - April 16th, 2025

🔻 PJ Washington Under 19.5 Points

Since the Mavericks got healthy, PJ Washington has quietly slid down the offensive pecking order. Now firmly behind AD and Klay in the scoring hierarchy, he’s topped 15 points just twice in his last seven games with Davis active.

He’s also averaging under 0.5 points per minute in that stretch — a big red flag for this kind of scoring line. The volume and usage simply aren’t there to justify a number this high.

🔺 Max Christie Over 3.5 Points

Christie was a key piece in the blockbuster Luka-to-LA trade, and he’s already making an impact. While still coming off the bench, he’s averaged 27 minutes and 10 points per game over his last 10.

This is a prime buy-low spot against one of the league’s worst defenses (115 defensive rating). Christie should have no problem clearing this low total if he maintains his recent role and minutes.

🔺 Keegan Murray Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made

Murray is Sacramento’s most dependable outside shooter, and the volume is definitely there. He’s attempting about 7 threes per game and connecting at a respectable 35% clip.

With limited competition for perimeter touches, Murray is relied upon to space the floor and get shots up — and he doesn’t hesitate. Two made threes is well within reach for him in this spot.

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