Top 3 NBA Picks for Wednesday 3-26

by Phil White - March 26th, 2025

We’ve got an exciting NBA slate lined up, and after digging into the matchups, I’ve identified several player props that present great value. Let’s break them down.

🔺 D’Angelo Russell Over 16.5 Points

With both Cam Thomas and Cam Johnson sidelined, DLo becomes the go-to scorer for the Nets. He’ll get every opportunity to cook tonight against a Raptors defense missing key perimeter defenders, creating an ideal scoring environment.

Toronto’s depleted guard rotation is a green light for Russell, who thrives in high-usage, pace-up matchups like this one. Expect him to have the ball in his hands early and often — 17 points feels very doable.

🔺 Kawhi Leonard Over 32.5 PRA (Points + Rebounds + Assists)

Kawhi has been locked in lately, posting 22+ points in five straight games, including a 33-point explosion. Over that stretch, he’s also averaged 8 rebounds and 4 assists, clearing this line in multiple ways.

He’ll take on a Knicks team tonight that’s on the second night of a back-to-back, and fatigue could be a major issue — especially against someone as efficient and methodical as Kawhi. This line is simply too low for his current all-around production.

🔺 Jamal Murray Over 33.5 PRA

With Nikola Jokic out due to an ankle injury, Murray is tasked with doing everything for Denver’s offense — and he’s been thriving. Over his last five games, Murray is averaging 25 points, and adding 10 combined rebounds and assists, easily eclipsing this PRA number.

His ceiling is massive without Jokic in the lineup, and the usage bump is real. In a matchup that should stay competitive, Murray will again be the engine for the Nuggets' offense. Ride the hot hand.

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