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Top 4 NBA Player Picks for Thursday 3-6

lockandcash

by Phil White - March 6th, 2025


We’ve got an exciting NBA slate lined up, and after digging into the matchups, I’ve identified two player props that present great value. Let’s break them down.


📌 Tyrese Haliburton More Than 20.5 Points

Haliburton has been red hot from deep, shooting over 50% from three in each of his last five games. With a pace-up matchup against Atlanta, who allows the third-highest opponent three-point percentage in the league, he should get plenty of clean looks from beyond the arc. Given his elite shooting form and the up-tempo nature of this game, he should easily clear this line.


📌 Caris LeVert More Than 15.5 Points

On the other side of this up-tempo matchup between the No. 2 paced Hawks and No. 10 paced Pacers, we have Caris LeVert, who is settling into his role as the Hawks’ second scoring option. He has topped 20 points in three straight games, and the Pacers have struggled against opposing shooting guards, allowing more than 24 points per game to the position. Given his expanded role and the defensive matchup, expect LeVert to have another strong scoring night.


📌 Zaccharie Risacher More Than 12.5 Points

Risacher has been thriving in pace-up spots and recently doubled his scoring line on Monday. Now, he gets another fantastic opportunity against an Indiana defense that struggles to defend power forwards, allowing 24 points per game to the position (third-worst in the league). With his increased role and a favorable matchup, this line feels too low—expect him to capitalize.


📌 Jimmy Butler Less Than 17.5 Points

Butler has taken a backseat offensively, playing as the second scoring option and third ball handler in Golden State. He’s hovered around the 18-point mark in his 10 games since joining the Warriors, and this sets up as a perfect fade spot against one of the slowest-paced teams in the league. With Steph Curry commanding the offense and Klay Thompson still taking a high volume of shots, expect Butler’s scoring opportunities to be limited, making the under a strong play.


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