Free Picks

Free Sports Picks

Free picks, written up and graded in the open.

Closing-line value

Every pick is judged on closing-line value — how our number beats the market's close, the truest signal of long-term skill. Here's how the free picks and the members' card compare.

Free picks
+2.7%
68% beat the close · 114 graded
Members' picks
+3.0%
66% beat the close · 1066 graded
Get the members' card →
Avg CLV on graded, closing-line-eligible picks. Verified in the full track record.
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Latest free picks
NFL
Colts @ Steelers
Oct 11, 2026
+1.5 pts CLVWIN
A home edge, extra rest, and a defense-first setup make this AFC meeting worth a close look.
NFL
Broncos @ Chargers
Oct 11, 2026
In play
A divisional number that feels a little too wide, plus injury noise on both sidelines, opens a clean angle in Los Angeles.
NFL
6PT TEASER: JAGUARS -1.5, TEXANS -1.5
Oct 11, 2026
WIN
Two Week 5 spots line up cleanly, and the edge sits right where a teaser should live.
NCAAF
Iowa @ Washington
Oct 9, 2026
-0.5 pts CLVLOSS
A rough travel spot and a matchup edge are pushing the same side in Friday night college football.
NCAAF
USC @ Penn St
Oct 10, 2026
+3.9% CLVLOSS
A loud building, a tight series, and a short home price make this Big Ten spot harder than it looks.
NFL
Buccaneers @ Cowboys
Oct 8, 2026
+1.0 pts CLVWIN
A shaky debut, a worn-down defense, and a number that still feels too low in Dallas.
MLB
Guardians @ White Sox
Oct 7, 2026
+2.5% CLVWIN
A home shift, a 2-0 hole, and bullpen pressure can change this series fast.
NFL
Lions @ Panthers
Oct 4, 2026
+1.5 pts CLVLOSS
A short road number in prime time, plus a defense that cannot make life easy, points this matchup in a very clear direction.
NFL
Lions @ Panthers
Oct 4, 2026
0.0 pts CLVLOSS
Detroit's offense meets a Carolina defense that has already shown real leaks early, and the angle is cleaner than the market may suggest.
NCAAF
Ohio St @ Iowa
Oct 3, 2026
+0.5 pts CLVWIN
Iowa’s latest breakthrough sets up a much tougher reality at Kinnick.
NCAAF
Michigan @ Minnesota
Oct 3, 2026
+1.0 pts CLVLOSS
Recency is keeping this number softer than it should be, and that usually opens the door to a buy-low spot.
NFL
Jaguars @ Bengals
Oct 4, 2026
0.0 pts CLVLOSS
A deeper matchup read points to one offense having the cleaner path to points in Cincinnati.
NCAAF
Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech
Oct 2, 2026
0.0 pts CLVLOSS
A tight line points one way, but the deeper profile says the wrong team is getting treated as better.
NFL
Steelers @ Browns
Oct 1, 2026
+0.5 pts CLVLOSS
Pittsburgh’s offense has a clear path here, and Cleveland’s recent scoring surge may not hold up once the pressure rises.
MLB
Cubs @ Padres
Sep 29, 2026
+0.9% CLVLOSS
A familiar postseason matchup brings an even pitching setup, and the price on this side may be better than it looks.
NFL
Bengals @ Steelers
Sep 27, 2026
+0.5 pts CLVWIN
A familiar AFC North script may show up again, and the market may be asking too much from the visitor.
NFL
Rams @ Broncos
Sep 27, 2026
+0.7% CLVWIN
Denver’s home edge, altitude, and late-game pace all point to a tricky full-game read in prime time.
NFL
Chargers @ Bills
Sep 27, 2026
-0.5 pts CLVLOSS
The spread has moved too far for a team that still has a pulse, and the matchup numbers point to a different kind of Sunday.
NCAAF
Oregon @ USC
Sep 26, 2026
+8.4% CLVWIN
A shaky defensive profile meets a road test that actually fits one side a lot better than the market may suggest.
NFL
Vikings @ Bears
Sep 20, 2026
+1.5 pts CLVWIN
A divisional number has already moved, and the matchup still points to the sharper defense.
NFL
Panthers @ Falcons
Sep 20, 2026
-1.0 pts CLVLOSS
A quarterback change, a strong home field, and a run-game edge point to a side that still feels priced too softly.
NFL
Giants @ Rams
Sep 21, 2026
0.0 pts CLVWIN
A prime-time number has drifted into a rare value zone, and the matchup setup points to a sharp correction.
NFL
Bengals @ Texans
Sep 20, 2026
+0.5 pts CLVLOSS
A few early numbers, plus the injury report, point this matchup toward one side in Houston.
NCAAF
Purdue @ UCLA
Sep 19, 2026
+0.5 pts CLVWIN
A cross-country spot, a high number, and an offense that has not been crisp could make this one tighter than the market says.
NCAAF
LSU @ Ole Miss
Sep 19, 2026
+0.5 pts CLVLOSS
A short number, a loud return story, and one SEC spot that looks a little too friendly to the home side.
MLB
Brewers @ Orioles
Sep 18, 2026
+1.3% CLVLOSS
Milwaukee already punched its ticket, Baltimore still has something real to chase, and that can tilt a tight price in one direction.
NCAAF
SMU @ Louisville
Sep 19, 2026
+6.5% CLVWIN
A top-25 ACC clash, and the home edge may matter more than most expect.
NFL
Lions @ Bills
Sep 17, 2026
0.0 REC YDS CLVLOSS
A shaky secondary and a clear tight-end hierarchy could open a quiet path in Buffalo on Thursday night.
NFL
Lions @ Bills
Sep 17, 2026
+2.5 pts CLVWIN
A thin number is sitting on a matchup with line pressure, a spot angle, and a defense that still has questions.
MLB
Yankees @ Twins
Sep 14, 2026
+1.6% CLVWIN
A familiar arm, a strong road angle, and a below-.500 opponent make Monday's opener worth a close look.
NFL
Broncos @ Chiefs
Sep 14, 2026
+3.0 RUSH YDS CLVWIN
Mahomes' rushing number looks too low if pressure shows up the way it should in a tight divisional spot.
NFL
Broncos @ Chiefs
Sep 14, 2026
0.0 pts CLVWIN
A divisional opener at Arrowhead brings line value, a familiar matchup, and one side I am not buying into.
NCAAF
Southern Miss @ Auburn
Sep 12, 2026
+1.0 pts CLVLOSS
Auburn’s new pace showed up right away, and the home setup actually looks even better in the second game.
NCAAF
Alabama @ Kentucky
Sep 12, 2026
+1.0 pts CLVLOSS
A noisy SEC spot in Lexington is setting up a tougher number than most people may expect.
NCAAF
Arizona @ BYU
Sep 12, 2026
0.0 pts CLVLOSS
A familiar matchup, a short number, and a road setup that has been rewarding early in the season.
NFL
Cowboys @ Giants
Sep 13, 2026
+4.0 PASS YDS CLVWIN
A primetime divisional spot, a high opening number, and a Dallas quarterback without preseason reps create an interesting angle.
NFL
Ravens @ Colts
Sep 13, 2026
+0.5 pts CLVLOSS
A Week 1 number is asking too much from the wrong side of a very familiar matchup.
NFL
Bears @ Panthers
Sep 13, 2026
+0.5 pts CLVWIN
A tight early-season matchup has more to it than the surface numbers, and the line says plenty about which side still has real room to prove itself.
NCAAF
Missouri @ Kansas
Sep 11, 2026
0.0% CLVLOSS
A familiar Border War setup is back in Lawrence, and the number is setting up a lot better for the home side.
NCAAF
Ohio St @ Texas
Sep 12, 2026
+4.8% CLVWIN
A short number in a top-5 showdown can tell you where the edge is hiding.